The Base Case of International Futures (IFs): Comparison with Other Forecasts

This paper provides an introduction to the base case of the International Futures (IFs) modeling system through a review of forecasts made by many organizations in major issue areas covered by IFs: population, economics, energy, food and agriculture, the environment, and socio-political systems. It compares IFs forecasts with those of other organizations and explains key differences.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

The research method used in the report involves reviewing and comparing forecasts from various organizations and individuals across major issue areas, noting key concepts and variables, and presenting the comparative forecasts alongside the base case of the International Futures (IFs) modeling system. The report also surveys families of scenarios that present multiple-issue global futures.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

The report reviews the base case forecast of the International Futures (IFs) modeling system, contextualizing it by comparing with forecasts from various organizations across key global systems: demographics, economics, energy, food, the environment, and socio-political change. It discusses the methodology, assumptions, and key variables used in forecasting, and examines the IFs base case in detail, including population growth, economic development, energy supply and demand, food and agriculture, environmental concerns, and socio-political systems. The report also touches on the future scenarios and the implications of different forecasts.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

Categories: English publication language | Global geographic scope | demographics | economics | energy | environment | food and agriculture | forecasts | futures | globalization | governance | income distribution | nationalism | population | power configurations | socio-political systems | technological change | wild cards