The Future of Arctic Cooperation in a Changing Strategic Environment

The report examines the future of Arctic cooperation amid changing strategic dynamics, focusing on potential tensions and the resilience of existing cooperative frameworks.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

The research method involved a tabletop exercise (TTX) with participants from Arctic nations and the UK, discussing potential events that could alter Arctic security in the 2020 decade. The TTX was based on prior RAND projects and aimed to understand how developments could impact cooperation norms.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

The research explores Arctic cooperation in light of strategic changes, using a scenario-based exercise to identify factors that could disrupt cooperation in the 2020s. It assesses overlapping continental shelf claims, increased maritime activity, and potential maritime incidents, emphasizing the importance of international norms and the role of institutions like the Arctic Council in maintaining regional stability.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

Categories: 2020 time horizon | 2020s time horizon | 2030 time horizon | 2030s time horizon | Arctic geographic scope | English publication language | arctic | arctic cooperation | arctic council | arctic geographic scope | continental shelf claims | economic relations | environmental risks | geostrategic competition | international | international diplomacy | international norms maritime incidents | maritime routes | resource extraction | strategic environment