The Future of Conflict in an Age of Climate Extremes
Environmental damage caused by climate change will exert pressure on key resources, land use, and human security. These challenges could amplify or directly cause conflict in the future. Global Governance Futures (GGF) identifies key trends and builds scenarios based on this premise.
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | Global Governance Futures |
| Publication date: | August 1, 2021 |
| Authors: | Kathrin Ludwig, Thomas Hale, Zach Beecher, Kathrin Ludwig, Michelle Toxopeüs, Natalie Unterstell,Joel Sandhu, Coco Aglibut, Sheila Carina, Tomonobu Kumahira, Tori Zheng Cui, Varun Hallikeri, Vivien Croes, Zach Beecher |
| Time horizon: | 2030 - 2035 |
| Geographic focus: | global |
| Page count: | 35 |
Methods
Methods described in detail here
Key uncertainties were derived from expert interviews. These uncertainties were split into two scenarios: a 'pleasant' outcome and an 'unpleasant' outcome.
Scenarios include a description of key uncertainty outcomes, a history of the future timeline, factors driving the scenario, and implications.
Key Insights
Drivers mentioned include:
- Emergence of Geo-engineering Technology
- Financial resilience of states and markets
- Regional Dynamics
- Consumption and Production patterns
- Food Security
- Climate related migration/displacement
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: 2021 publication year | 2030 time horizon | 2030s time horizon | 2035 time horizon | English publication language | climate change | conflict | geopolitics | global geographic scope | new regionalism drivers methodology | scenario methodology | expert interview methodology | backcasting methodology