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The Future of Conflict in an Age of Climate Extremes
Quick Facts | |
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Report location: | source |
Language: | English |
Publisher: | Global Governance Futures |
Publication date: | August 1, 2021 |
Authors: | GGF 2035 Global Futures of Climate-Related Conflict Working Group; Senior Fellow: Thomas Hale; Fellows: Zach Beecher, Sheila Carina, Vivien Croes, Tori Zheng Cui, Varun Hallikeri, Tomonobu Kumahira, “‹Kathrin Ludwig, Michelle Toxopeüs, Natalie Unterstell; Co-authors: Joel Sandhu and Coco Aglibut |
Time horizon: | 2030 - 2035 |
Geographic focus: | global |
Page count: | 35 |
Methods
Methods described in detail here
Key uncertainties were derived from expert interviews. These uncertainties were split into two scenarios: a 'pleasant' outcome and an 'unpleasant' outcome.
Scenarios include a description of key uncertainty outcomes, a history of the future timeline, factors driving the scenario, and implications.
Key Insights
Drivers mentioned include:
- Emergence of Geo-engineering Technology
- Financial resilience of states and markets
- Regional Dynamics
- Consumption and Production patterns
- Food Security
- Climate related migration/displacement
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: 2021_publication_year | 2030_time_horizon | 2030s_time_horizon | 2035_time_horizon | english_publication_language | climate_change | conflict | geopolitics | global_geographic_scope | new_regionalism drivers_methodology, scenario_methodology, expert_interview_methodology, backcasting_methodology