The Future of Nuclear Power in China
This report examines the future of China's nuclear power development through 2050 by considering both the policy choices and the strategic implications, domestic and global, which include China’s choice of advanced nuclear technology, policymaking in China’s electricity sector, management and assessment of nuclear project and political risk, as well as the prospect for Chinese nuclear exports and China’s nuclear governance.
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Quick Facts | |
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Report location: | source |
Language: | English |
Publisher: | Carnegie Endowment for International Peace |
Authors: | Mark Hibbs |
Time Horizon: | 2050 |
Geographic Focus: | China |
Page count: | 147 pages |
Methods
The research method used in the report involved a combination of literature review, analysis of government planning documents, academic studies, financial reports from industry firms, records of conferences and meetings, and Chinese and foreign news media accounts. The report also benefited from discussions and interviews with government officials, industry executives, economists, scientists, consultants, lawyers, academicians, and civil society experts since 2011.
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Key Insights
China's nuclear power program is at a crossroads as it approaches the likely achievement of producing more nuclear electricity than any other country. The program's future will depend on decisions about technology selection, assessment and management of risks, and management of the economy to accommodate nuclear investments. The program's success could lead to China operating hundreds of reactors and demonstrating a closed fuel cycle at an industrial scale. However, failure to manage costs and overcome challenges could result in an aging fleet of reactors by 2050, with China preparing to wind down its nuclear power program.
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Additional Viewpoints
Categories: 2050 time horizon | 2050s_time_horizon | English publication language | advanced nuclear technology | china geographic scope | electricity sector reform | energy | energy demand | energy economics | energy future | energy security | energy technology | fast neutron reactors | industry | market forces | nonproliferation | nuclear energy | nuclear exports | nuclear fuel cycle | nuclear governance | nuclear power | nuclear safety | nuclear security | political risk | public acceptance | reprocessing plants | strategic technology policy | technology | uranium supply