The Future of Warfare (ESPAS Ideas Paper)
This report examines the future of warfare, considering geopolitical, societal, technological, economic, and military trends, and poses key questions for policymakers.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | European Parliamentary Research Service, European Strategy and Policy Analysis System |
| Authors: | Leopold Schmertzing |
| Time horizon: | 2030 |
| Geographic focus: | Global |
Methods
The research method involved analyzing global trends and key uncertainties, and formulating questions for policymakers based on the anticipated future of warfare.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
The report explores how warfare is evolving due to changes in geopolitics, society, technology, economics, and military dynamics. It anticipates a multipolar world with increased proxy wars, the significance of megacities as battlefields, the rise of cyber warfare, and the impact of artificial intelligence. It also discusses the potential for economic targets in warfare and the diversification of military situations. Key uncertainties include China's military innovation, cyber warfare, autonomous systems, AI, and nuclear deterrence. Policymakers are prompted to consider strategic autonomy, adaptation, balancing reserves, R&D, cooperation, interventions, China's rise, weakening norms, anticipation, communication, and procurement.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: 2030 time horizon | 2030s time horizon | English publication language | Global geographic scope | artificial intelligence | automated | cyber warfare | defence | economic factors | espas | foreign affairs | foresight | future | future and emerging technologies | future trends | geopolitical trends | geopolitics | globalisation | governance | industry | innovation | military dynamics | military power | nuclear deterrence | policy-making | politics | proxy wars | security | societal impact | technological advances | technology | war | weapons systems