The Mont Fleur Scenarios

This report presents the Mont Fleur Scenarios, exploring possible futures for South Africa from 1992 to 2002.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

The research method involved a multi-disciplinary team of 22 South Africans from various sectors who participated in three workshops to develop and refine the scenarios. The process was facilitated by Adam Kahane and funded by the Friedrich Ebert Stiftung and the Swiss Development Agency. The team used scenario planning to construct plausible and internally consistent stories about South Africa's future, which were then disseminated for public debate and consideration.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

The Mont Fleur Scenarios are a set of four narratives developed by a diverse group of South African stakeholders in 1991-92, envisioning potential paths for the country's future from 1992 to 2002. The scenarios, named Ostrich, Lame Duck, Icarus, and Flight of the Flamingos, explore outcomes ranging from non-representative government and economic stagnation to inclusive democracy and sustainable growth. The exercise aimed to stimulate debate and guide strategic decision-making during a critical period of transition in South Africa, emphasizing the impact of collective choices on the nation's trajectory.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

Categories: 1990s time horizon | 1992 time horizon | English publication language | Global geographic scope | South Africa geographic scope | authoritarianism | economic policies | future projections | futures | government sustainability | inclusive democracy | macro-economic populism | negotiated settlement | policy | political | political settlement | research | scenario | scenario planning | social reconstruction | sustainability | sustainability