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The OECD Scenarios for the Future of Schooling
Excerpt from report:
“In 2001, the OECD published What Schools for the Future? (OECD, 2001[1]), a set of scenarios on the future of schooling and education. … This chapter presents an updated set of scenarios, drawing on the original thinking as well as over a decade of CERI work on Trends Shaping Education”
Methods
Methods might be outlined in more detail in the original report but I didn't look for it to see if that's true
Might have used a 2×2 method (but 3 axes) because of this statement: “The original 2001 OECD scenarios presented six possible futures framed and structured along a set of themes: attitudes, expectations, and political support; goals and functions; organisation and structures; the geo-political dimension, and; the teacher force. These were in turn clustered around three axes:” (Introduction)
- Scenarios are developed
- Other
Key Insights
Drivers mentioned include:
- Employers continued reliance on traditional forms of education
- Investment in education R&D
- Digitalization
- Massification and extension of schooling
- speed of technological change
- New forms of work
- Increased number of sources for learning
- Increasingly educated parents
- Erosion of formal education credentials / skill set over qualifciations
- polarization and fragmentation in society
- Digitalization and AI
- Learning and skilling outside formal education and schooling
- embedding technologies in our lives (and our bodies)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: 2030s_time_horizon | 2036_time_horizon | 2040_time_horizon | 2040s_time_horizon | english_publication_language | education | global_geographic_scope | learning_hubs | outsource | schooling