Volatile Years: Transnational Terrorism in 2027
This report explores the future of transnational terrorism, focusing on two scenarios: the rise of takfiri terrorism in Central Asia's Fergana Valley and the emergence of populist terrorism in stable societies due to automation and socioeconomic disparities.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | Global Governance Futures |
| Publication date: | June 1, 2017 |
| Authors: | Elisa D. Lux, Fanglu Sun, Aryaman Bhatnagar, Laila A. Wahedi, Minako Manome, Sarah Markiewics, Yuan Ma |
| Time horizon: | 2027 |
| Geographic focus: | Central Asia |
| Page count: | 33 |
Methods
The research method involved scenario construction, a strategic approach to address complex and uncertain environments. The process included environmental scanning, factor identification, assessment, key factor identification, scenario construction, and identifying actor-specific opportunities, threats, and strategic implications.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
The report examines the potential evolution of transnational terrorism by 2027, considering technological advancements, globalization, and ideological shifts. It presents two scenarios: Central Asia becoming a hotbed for takfiri terrorism and the rise of populist terrorism in developed societies. The research analyzes factors such as regional dynamics, global economy, radicalization, international cooperation, and the impact of technology on terrorism's forms and structures.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: 2017 publication year | 2020s time horizon | 2027 time horizon | English publication language | americas | asia | central asia | central asia geographic scope | europe | security | terrorism