Water Scenarios for the Zambezi River Basin, 2000 – 2050
This report examines the potential impacts of increased water demand and climate change on the Zambezi River Basin (ZRB) by 2050, highlighting the risk of serious international conflicts over water allocation without effective cooperation.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | |
| Authors: | Thomas Bernauer, Lucas Beck |
| Time horizon: | 2000 |
| Geographic focus: | Zambezi River Basin, Angola, Botswana, Malawi, Mozambique, Namibia, Tanzania, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Africa |
Methods
The research utilized a computational simulation model consisting of a hydrological component to mimic natural processes and a demand model representing deterministic water demand based on actual use and projections. The model incorporated improved spatial resolution and differentiated temporal approaches to assess seasonal and long-term changes in precipitation and demand.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
The Zambezi River Basin, shared by eight countries, faces potential water shortages due to increased demand and climate change. A rainfall-runoff model predicts drastic reductions in runoff, especially during the dry season, and changing shares of runoff among countries. The study suggests that without effective international water allocation rules, these changes could lead to significant transboundary impacts and conflicts.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: 2000 time horizon | 2000s time horizon | Africa geographic scope | Angola geographic scope | Botswana geographic scope | English publication language | Malawi geographic scope | Mozambique geographic scope | Namibia geographic scope | Tanzania geographic scope | Zambezi River Basin geographic scope | Zambia geographic scope | Zimbabwe geographic scope | climate change | hydropower | international cooperation | irrigated agriculture | rainfall-runoff model | transboundary impacts | water | water allocation | water demand scenarios | water institutions | zambezi river basin