World agriculture towards 2030/2050. The 2012 revision
This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the potential growth in world agriculture towards 2030/2050, examining updated historical data, undernourishment estimates, population projections, GDP data, land and water resource estimates, and changes in food consumption patterns.
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| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations |
| Authors: | Jelle Bruinsma, Nikos Alexandratos |
| Time horizon: | 2030 |
| Geographic focus: | Global |
Methods
The research method involved analyzing historical data, population and GDP projections, and estimates of land and water resources. It also considered changes in food consumption patterns, with a focus on the shift towards livestock products. The study used international commodity prices to measure production growth and accounted for the potential impact of biofuels and climate change.
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Key Insights
The study projects a 60% increase in world agricultural production by 2050, with significant regional variations. Developing countries are expected to double or triple production, with 90% of the increase occurring there. Despite slower population growth and higher food consumption levels, demand for agricultural products will continue to grow, driven by income growth and dietary shifts towards livestock products.
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Additional Viewpoints
Categories: 2030 time horizon | 2030s time horizon | English publication language | Global geographic scope | agricultural outlook | agricultural production and natural resources | agricultural sector | agriculture | biofuels | crop production | crop yields | fao | food and nutrition | food demand | global outlook | irrigation | land use | nutrition | production growth