A review of global scenario exercises for food security analysis

This study reviews global scenario literature with a focus on implications for food security, covering nine major studies published between 2000 and 2012.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

The research method involved a literature survey of nine major global scenario studies, focusing on their background, individual scenarios, drivers, assumptions, and food security outcomes. The studies were selected based on content relevance to food security, quantification of key variables, medium to long-term horizon, publication date, and global coverage. The scenarios were analyzed using various models, primarily to simulate bio-physical and market dynamics, with limited capacity for household-level food security analysis.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

The report examines nine global scenario studies to understand their assumptions and results regarding global food security. The studies, published from 2000 to 2012, use various models to project future food availability, accessibility, and the potential impacts of climate change and biofuels on food systems. While all studies address food availability and accessibility, they largely overlook food utilization and stability. The scenarios suggest that technological advancements and international trade are key to improving food security, but none fully address the transition to a bio-based economy. The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), being developed for the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, are identified as a potential starting point for future food security analysis.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

Categories: English publication language | Global geographic scope | agriculture | biofuels | climate change | food | food accessibility | food availability | food prices | food security | food security scenarios | global scenarios | international trade | shared socioeconomic pathways (ssps) | technological change