EU energy, transport and GHG emissions trends to 2050. Reference scenario 2013
The EU Reference Scenario 2013 projects that by 2050, the European Union's energy system will undergo significant changes, with a strong focus on decarbonization, particularly in power generation. Energy efficiency will improve, and renewable energy sources will play a crucial role in reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Despite economic growth, total energy consumption will decline, and the EU will face challenges in reducing its energy import dependency.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | Publications Office of the European Union, European Commission |
| Authors: | Eurocare: H. P. Witzke, Iiasa -gains Model: L. Höglund-isaksson, W. Winiwarter, P. Purohit, Iiasa -globiom Model: H. Böttcher, S. Frank, P. Havlík, M. Gusti, E3m-lab: Prof. P. Capros, A. De Vita, N. Tasios, D. Papadopoulos, P. Siskos, E. Apostolaki, M. Zampara, L. Paroussos, K. Fragiadakis, N. Kouvaritakis, Et Al. |
Methods
The EU Reference Scenario 2013 used the PRIMES model for energy and CO2 emission projections, the GAINS model for non-CO2 emission projections, and the GLOBIOM-G4M models for LULUCF emission and removal projections. The scenario includes all binding targets and policies adopted by spring 2012 and simulates energy balances and GHG emission trends for the EU and its Member States.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
The EU Reference Scenario 2013 anticipates a decrease in total energy consumption by 8% from 2010 to 2050, despite a 78% increase in GDP. Renewable energy sources, including biomass, wind, solar, and geothermal, will contribute to a more sustainable energy mix. Energy efficiency improvements, driven by policies and rising fossil fuel prices, will lead to a decoupling of energy consumption from GDP growth. The power generation sector will see a significant reduction in carbon intensity, and the transport sector will become the largest source of CO2 emissions.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: English publication language | climate change | demographic changes | economic growth | economy | energy consumption | energy efficiency | energy efficiency policies | energy system costs | energy technology | energy trends | eu energy and climate package | greenhouse gas emissions | import dependency | power generation | primary energy supply | renewable energy | transport sector