Possible Scenarios on the Futures of the Panatag Shoal Controversy using Jim Dator's Four Archetypes of Alternative Futures
This report explores potential future scenarios for the Panatag Shoal dispute in the South China Sea, using Jim Dator's four archetypes of alternative futures.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | Journal of Futures Studies |
| Publication date: | December 1, 2013 |
| Authors: | Shermon Cruz |
| Geographic focus: | Asia, South_China_Sea, Philippines, China, Vietnam, Taiwan, United_States |
| Page count: | 28 |
Methods
The research method involves scenario planning using Jim Dator's four archetypes of alternative futures. It incorporates expert analysis, academic journals, official statements, and recorded conversations to construct plausible scenarios for the Panatag Shoal dispute.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
The research examines the Panatag Shoal (Scarborough Shoal) dispute, analyzing potential outcomes using Jim Dator's four archetypes: continued economic growth, collapse, conserver, and transformation. It assesses the implications of these scenarios on regional disputes and US-China relations, considering factors like military conflict, legal battles, environmental concerns, and diplomatic negotiations. The study aims to understand the complexities of the dispute and envision paths toward resolution.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: 2013 publication year | English publication language | Asia geographic scope | China geographic scope | Philippines geographic scope | South China Sea geographic scope | Taiwan geographic scope | United States geographic scope | Vietnam geographic scope | diplomacy | economic collapse | economic growth | environmental conservation | international policy | international relations | military conflict | panatag shoal | regional disputes | scenario archetypes | sovereignty | strategy | transformation