Potential of biomass energy out to 2100, for four IPCC SRES land-use scenarios

This study assesses the geographical and technical potential of biomass energy from energy crops under four IPCC SRES scenarios (A1, A2, B1, B2) using the IMAGE 2.2 model. It considers three categories of land: abandoned agricultural land, low-productive land, and 'rest land'.

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Quick Facts
Report location: source
Language: English
Publisher:

Elsevier Biomass And Bioenergy

Authors: Andre Faaij, Bas Eickhout, Bert De Vries, Wim Turkenburg, Monique Hoogwijk
Time horizon: 2050
Geographic focus: Global, Africa

Methods

The research method involved using the IMAGE 2.2 model to simulate land-use patterns and crop productivity at a grid cell level under four IPCC SRES scenarios. The study defined the geographical potential as the product of available land area and productivity level for energy crops, considering three land categories. The technical potential was then calculated by applying conversion efficiencies to the geographical potential.

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Key Insights

The research explores the potential for biomass energy production up to 2100, focusing on energy crops grown on abandoned agricultural land, low-productivity land, and 'rest land'. The study uses the IMAGE 2.2 model to simulate land-use patterns and crop productivity under four IPCC SRES scenarios, considering factors like population growth, economic development, and technological change. The geographical potential is highest for the A1 and B1 scenarios, with significant regional variations. The technical potential for converting biomass to electricity and fuels is also estimated.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

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Last modified: 2024/06/14 16:59 by elizabethherfel