PREDICT: Projections and Relevant Effects of Demographic Implications, Changes, and Trends
The PREDICT project identifies key demographic trends and their interactions with other dimensions such as economics, environment, technology, health, and politics to forecast potential security challenges up to 2035.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | North Atlantic Treaty Organization |
| Authors: | Alberto Clò, Alessandro Marrone, Angelo Panebianco, Bruno Carli, Carlo Frappi, Christine Macnulty, Emanuele Castelli, Enrico Fassi, Erik Jones, Eugenia Baroncelli, Federico Casprini, Filippo Andreatta, Francesco Niccolò Moro, George Christou, Giampiero Giacomello, Giancarlo Gasperoni, Gregory Copley, Kerim Can Kavakli, Letizia Mencarini, Lorenzo Zambernardi, Maria Letizia Tanturri, Massimo Livi Bacci, Matteo Dian, Matteo Verda, Matteo Villa, Meltem Müftüler-baç, Michela Ceccorulli, Serena Giusti, Silvana Salvini, Tomislava Penkova, Tyson Chatagnier, Veronica Lenzi, Sonia Lucarelli |
| Geographic focus: | Global, Asia-pacific, Europe, Russia And Post-soviet States, Middle East And North Africa (mena), Sub-saharan Africa |
| Time Horizon: | 2035 |
| Page count: | 152 pages |
Methods
The research method involved analyzing demographic trends, their interactions with other trends, and expert evaluations to forecast regional security challenges and implications for NATO. The project included interim reports, workshops, questionnaires, and scenario-building exercises.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
Demographic trends indicate a global population increase to 8.7 billion by 2035, with most growth in less developed areas. Fertility rates are projected to decrease globally, and aging populations will become a significant trend, particularly in developed regions. Urbanization will continue, with most population growth absorbed by cities. Migration will significantly affect population dynamics, with “South-South” flows impacting both developing and developed countries.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: 2035 time horizon | 2030s time horizon | Asia-pacific geographic scope | English publication language | Europe geographic scope | Global geographic scope | Middle East And North Africa (mena) geographic scope | Russia And Post-soviet States geographic scope | Sub-saharan Africa geographic scope | aging | defence | demographic implications | demography | emerging technologies | energy | ethnic composition | fertility rates | foreign affairs | global interconnexions | global trends | globalisation | governance | human development | life expectancy | migration | mortality | nato | politics | population growth | religious composition | research | resources | technology | urbanization