South African Futures 2030: How Bafana Bafana made Mandela Magic
This paper presents three scenarios for South Africa up to 2030: 'Bafana Bafana', 'A Nation Divided', and 'Mandela Magic', with 'Mandela Magic' being the most prosperous pathway.
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Quick Facts | |
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Report location: | source |
Language: | English |
Publisher: | Institute for Security Studies |
Authors: | Jakkie Cilliers |
Time horizon: | 2030 |
Geographic focus: | South Africa |
Page count: | 36 pages |
Methods
The research method used in the report involves scenario planning, where three distinct narratives are constructed to explore possible futures for South Africa up to 2030. These scenarios are based on current trends, potential policy decisions, and their projected impact on the country's economy and society.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
The report outlines three potential futures for South Africa: 'Bafana Bafana', a continuation of the status quo with moderate progress; 'Mandela Magic', an optimistic scenario with clear vision and execution leading to significant growth; and 'A Nation Divided', where political instability and populist policies lead to economic decline. The paper emphasizes the importance of policy and leadership choices in determining the country's trajectory, with the economy potentially growing 23% larger under 'Mandela Magic' compared to 'Bafana Bafana'. The paper concludes with seven strategic interventions to achieve the 'Mandela Magic' scenario.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: 2030 time horizon | 2030s time horizon | English publication language | South Africa geographic scope | development | economic growth | economy | education | foreign affairs | foreign investment | governance | growth | infrastructure investment | labour market | leadership | policy implementation | political stability | politics | regions | research | security | social development | south african future