States of Change: The Demographic Evolution of the American Electorate, 1974–2060

This report documents and analyzes the challenges to democracy posed by the rapid demographic evolution from the 1970s to 2060, projects the race-ethnic composition of every state to 2060, and promotes discussion on America's demographic future and its implications for political parties and policy.

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Quick Facts
Report location: source
Language: English
Publisher: Center for American Progress, American Enterprise Institute, Brookings Institution, Center for Global Development
Time Horizon: 2060
Authors: Robert Griffin, William H. Frey, Ruy Teixeira
Page count: 156 pages

Methods

The research method used in the report involves a multistate cohort component methodology that projects race- and age-specific populations for each state to 2060 based on domestic migration, international migration, fertility, and mortality rates. The projections are based on modeling that incorporates data from the American Community Survey and the Census' National Population Projections.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

Key Insights

The report examines the demographic evolution of the American electorate from 1974 to 2060, focusing on the rise of majority-minority states, the diversification of eligible voters, and the lagged diversification of actual voters. It also explores the generational shifts, the superdiversification of America's children, the graying of America, the diversification of the gray, the decline of the white working class, the rise of white college graduates, and the rise of the unmarried electorate.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

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Last modified: 2024/05/06 15:50 by elizabethherfel