The Future of Cybercrime in Light of Technology Developments

The report investigates future technological developments and their potential impact on cybercrime, focusing on Estonia's cybersecurity resilience and policy responses.

Excerpt from report:
“this report was completed for the government of Estonia which is concerned about the emergence of new and/or disruptive technologies which could be used to engage in cyber crime. The purpose of the study conducted is to identify future trends, challenges, and opportunities for cybercrime and harm reduction over a ten-year timeframe”

Quick Facts
Report location: source
Language: English
Publisher: RAND
Authors: Jacope Bellasio, Erik Silfversten, Eireann Leverett, Anna Knack, Fiona Quimbre, Emma Louise Blondes, Marina Favaro, Giacomo Persi Paoli
Time horizon: 2030 - 2035
Geographic focus: estonia
Page count: 13

Methods

The research method included horizon scanning, expert consultations, and a table-top exercise. It aimed to identify technologies that could be used for cybercrime, analyze ICT changes, and propose prevention strategies.

  • Qualitative methods used
  • Environmental scanning used
  • With Stakeholders
  • Other

Key Insights

The research explores the intersection of emerging technologies and cybercrime, assessing potential future scenarios and providing recommendations for Estonia. It examines technology clusters like AI, IoT, and blockchain, and their implications for cybercrime, offering strategic policy suggestions to enhance Estonia's cyber resilience.

Drivers mentioned include:

  • Technological Change
  • Social and Economic Drivers of Crime
  • Environmental Factors
  • Lack of criminal justic responses

Additional Viewpoints

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Last modified: 2024/04/17 16:38 by elizabethherfel