The world of 2030: risks and opportunities for Latin America

The report discusses global trends and their potential impact on Latin America by 2030, focusing on megatrends, game changers, and four alternative future scenarios.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

Quick Facts
Report location: source
Language: English
Publisher: Inter-American Dialogue
Authors: Sergio Bitar, National Intelligence Council
Time horizon: 2030
Geographic focus: Global, Latin America

Methods

The research method involved analyzing the NIC's “Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds” report, Sergio Bitar's report on future studies for Latin America, and other prominent studies from the European Union Institute for Security Studies, the Atlantic Council, and the Millennium Project. The analysis included identifying megatrends, game changers, and alternative future scenarios, as well as drivers of global trends relevant to Latin America.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

Key Insights

The report, “Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds,” released by the National Intelligence Council (NIC) in December 2012, outlines four megatrends—individual empowerment, diffusion of global power, demographic changes, and strain on global resources—that will shape the world by 2030. It also identifies six game changers that could influence these trends, such as economic volatility, governance gaps, conflict potential, regional instability, new technologies, and the role of the United States. The report presents four alternative futures: Stalled Engines, Fusion, Genie out of the Bottle, and Non-state World. Sergio Bitar's report, “How to Govern Better in the World to Come,” adds six drivers directing global trends over the next 10–50 years, including disruptive technology, natural resources, demography and migration, the middle class and development, the displacement of power, and urbanization. The Inter-American Dialogue's publication aims to raise awareness of these trends and their implications for Latin America, encouraging the region to identify major future challenges and opportunities.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

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Last modified: 2024/05/06 20:18 by elizabethherfel