Travel in Britain in 2035: Future scenarios and their implications for technology innovation

This study explores how emerging technologies might address congestion in the UK by 2035, focusing on technologies that could use transport capacity more efficiently, support different mode choices, and manage or reduce travel demand.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

Quick Facts
Report location:	source
Language:	English
Publisher:	RAND
Authors:	Charlene Rohr, Eleanor Baker, Fay Dunkerley, James Black, Johanna Zmud, Liisa Ecola
Time horizon:	2035
Geographic focus:	United Kingdom
Page count:	89

Methods

The research method involved identifying key technologies, developing future scenarios based on these technologies, and interviewing experts for policy implications. Technologies were shortlisted using the STREAM methodology, focusing on those influencing demand, volume, and productivity. Scenarios were created using expert workshops, cross-impact analysis, consistency analysis, and cluster analysis. Expert interviews provided insights on policy, investment, and technology challenges.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

Key Insights

The report identifies six key technologies that could influence transport efficiency: autonomous vehicles, next-generation ICT connectivity, advanced manufacturing (including 3D printing), user apps/Big Data, the Internet of Things, and novel materials with embedded sensors. Three scenarios—Driving Ahead, Live Local, and Digital Divide—examine the impact of these technologies on travel related to work/business, health, retail, long-distance travel, and freight movement. The study concludes with a strategic roadmap for UK policies and investments based on expert interviews about policy implications, robust innovation investments, and technology barriers and enablers.

(Generated with the help of GPT-4)

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