Unexpected, Unforeseen, Unplanned Scenarios of International Foreign and Security Policy
This report examines the transformation of the Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) Research Paper into a foresight contribution, exploring scenarios of international foreign and security policy, with a focus on unexpected, unforeseen, and unplanned events.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | German Institute for International and Security Affairs |
| Authors: | Alexander Libman, Alexandra Sakaki, Amrei Meier, Anne Koch, Barbara Lippert, Bettina Rudloff, Christian Becker, Dušan Reljić., Hanns Günther Hilpert, Hanns W. Maull, Johannes Thimm, Lars Brozus, Marcel Dickow, Margarete Klein, Nils Simon, Oliver Meier, Ronja Kempin, Sabine Fischer, Steffen Angenendt, Lars Brozus (ed.) |
| Page count: | 56 pages |
Methods
The research method involved a multi-stage selection and review process, including a competitive forum, workshops, and peer reviews to develop plausible scenarios. The focus was on “grey swans,” or crises that develop over time without adequate political prioritization.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
The report explores various geopolitical scenarios, including a national crisis in the United States, geopolitical shifts in Asia-Pacific, nuclear accidents in Ukraine, autonomy conflicts in Russia's Far East, and the rapid loss of bees in North Africa. It also discusses the resolution of the refugee crisis in Germany and the EU, the evolution of the European External Action Service into a European Foreign Ministry, and the potential unification of Albanian territories.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: English publication language | albanian unification | asia-pacific | asia-pacific’s economy | autonomy conflicts | bee loss | china | crisis scenario | economy | european diplomacy | foreign affairs | foreign policy | geopolitical shifts | germany and europe | globalisation | governance | national crisis | nuclear accidents | politics | refugee crisis | refugees | russia elections 2018 | security | security policy. | strategic foresight | ukraine | united states leadership