What if ... Conceivable crises: unpredictable in 2017, unmanageable in 2020?
This report explores conceivable crises that are unpredictable in 2017 but could become unmanageable by 2020, focusing on various global security challenges.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
| Quick Facts | |
|---|---|
| Report location: | source |
| Language: | English |
| Publisher: | European Union Institute for Security Studies |
| Authors: | Aleksandra Tor, Annelies Pauwels, Daniel Fiott, Eva Pejsova, John-joseph Wilkins, Julia Lisiecka, Patryk Pawlak, Roderick Parkes, Zoran Nechev, Florence Gaub |
| Page count: | 67 pages |
Methods
The research method used in the report involves the creation of hypothetical “what if” scenarios based on current trends and evidence, followed by analysis of potential outcomes and strategic responses.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Key Insights
The report presents a series of “what if” scenarios depicting potential crises that could emerge unpredictably in 2017 and escalate to become unmanageable by 2020. These scenarios span geopolitical interventions, terrorism, disintegration of states, and cyber warfare, reflecting on their causes, consequences, and the adequacy of current response mechanisms. The report aims to stimulate strategic foresight and planning among policymakers to prevent complacency and enhance preparedness for such conceivable crises.
(Generated with the help of GPT-4)
Additional Viewpoints
Categories: English publication language | bosnia-herzegovina disintegration | conflict | coup in cameroon | crisis scenario | daesh attacks | daesh in africa | defence | eu global strategy | foreign affairs | governance | india-pakistan conflict. | israel-hizbullah war | japan nuclear armament | north korea cyber invasion | right-wing terrorism | russia-ukraine conflict | security | terrorism | us-turkey relations