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| library:global_foresight_2022 [2023/06/03 21:09] – created - external edit 127.0.0.1 | library:global_foresight_2022 [2024/02/26 03:16] (current) – davidpjonker |
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| ======Global Foresight 2022====== | ======Global Foresight 2022====== |
| | This report presents three scenarios for the world in 2030, focusing on the impact of climate change, the potential for a democratic renaissance, and the risks of Kremlin aggression. |
| Mentions that this is part of a series of reports, but no specific articulation of the specific "why" (other than this is precisely what this org does) \\ | |
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| ^ Quick Facts ^^ | ^ Quick Facts ^^ |
| | Report location: |[[https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Global-Forseight-2022-.pdf| source]] | | |Report location: |[[https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Global-Forseight-2022-.pdf| source]] | |
| | Language: | English | | |Language: |English | |
| | Publisher: |[[encyclopedia:atlantic_council|Atlantic Council]] | | |Publisher: |[[encyclopedia:atlantic_council|Atlantic Council]] | |
| | Publication date: |April 1, 2022 | | |Publication date: |April 1, 2022 | |
| | Authors: |Mathew Burrows, Anca Agachi, Robert A. Manning, Peter Engelke | | |Authors: |Anca Agachi, Mathew Burrows, Mathew Burrows, PhD, Peter Engelke, Robert A. Manning | |
| | Time horizon: | 2030 - 2035 | | |Time horizon: |2030 - 2035 | |
| | Geographic focus: |global | | |Geographic focus: |Global | |
| | Page count: |36 | | |Page count: |36 | |
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| =====Methods===== | =====Methods===== |
| | The research method involves strategic foresight and global trend analysis, drawing on the authors' experience in the US intelligence community and beyond. It includes analyzing current trends, forecasting future scenarios, and identifying potential risks and opportunities. |
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| "Visions," "Alternative Worlds," and "Scenario" are seemingly used interchangebly\\ | |
| * Exploratory in nature | * Exploratory in nature |
| * Scenarios are developed | * Scenarios are developed |
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| =====Key Insights===== | =====Key Insights===== |
| | The report explores ten trends shaping the future, including technological disruption, deglobalization, and climate change. It presents three scenarios for 2030: a Cold War II with China and Russia, a world transformed by climate shocks, and a democratic renaissance. It also identifies twelve risks and opportunities for 2022, such as new COVID-19 variants, Russia attacking Ukraine, and China's economic sputter. \\ |
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| Drivers mentioned include: | Drivers mentioned include: |
| * The Vaccine Miracle—and Cautionary Message | * The Vaccine Miracle—and Cautionary Message |
| <!-- Insert instructions for additional viewpoints --> | <!-- Insert instructions for additional viewpoints --> |
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| <span #categories_box> Categories: {{tag>2022_publication_year}} | {{tag>2030_time_horizon}} | {{tag>2030s_time_horizon}} | {{tag>2035_time_horizon}} | {{tag>English_publication_language}} | {{tag>climate_change}} | {{tag>covid}} | {{tag>covid-19}} | {{tag>democracy}} | {{tag>economics}} | {{tag>food}} | {{tag>geopolitics}} | {{tag>global_geographic_scope}} | {{tag>new_regionalism}} | {{tag>regionalism}} | {{tag>security}} </span> | <span #categories_box> Categories: {{tag>2022_publication_year}} | {{tag>2030_time_horizon}} | {{tag>2030s_time_horizon}} | {{tag>2035_time_horizon}} | {{tag>English_publication_language}} | {{tag>Global_geographic_scope}} | {{tag>climate_change}} | {{tag>conflict}} | {{tag>covid}} | {{tag>democracy}} | {{tag>economic_growth}} | {{tag>food}} | {{tag>geopolitics}} | {{tag>inequality}} | {{tag>multipolarity}} | {{tag>regionalism}} | {{tag>security}} | {{tag>sino-us_tensions}} | {{tag>technological_disruption}} </span> |
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| ~~DISCUSSION~~ | ~~DISCUSSION~~ |
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