Governance Under Pressure

Sustainable Health Systems - Visions, Strategies, Critical Uncertainties and Scenarios by World Economic Forum in collaboration with McKinsey interviewed over 200 leaders in healthcare to provide a systemic analysis of the healthcare industry and answer the question: what could health systems look like in 2040? Some of the political/legal Drivers of Change identified are:

• Influence over lifestyles - “Ability and willingness of the state and organizational bodies to directly influence the lives of the population.”
• Origin of governance - “At which level will policy for the society be set? Supranational, national, or local?”

Chaos or Connection? The Global Media and Information Landscape in 2035 by Global Governance Futures provides insights into the future trends and challenges in the global media and information landscape. It explores the evolving dynamics of media consumption, digital technologies, and the role of information in society, highlighting the need for adaptation and innovation in this rapidly changing environment. One of the key uncertainties considered for the scenarios is how nationalism and populism will develop.

Future of Government in 2030 by e.Republic is a series of short essays compiling the thoughts of over two dozen futurists. Several of which consider various aspects of our governing system.

GAO 2018-2023 Strategic Plan: Trends Affecting Government and Society by US Government Accountability Office is a study on the challenges faced by the federal government in managing and overseeing cybersecurity risks.

Challenge Network scenarios since 1996 by The Challenge Network

Agenda 2063: The Africa We Want (popular version) by African Union outlines 7 aspirations for the continent in 2063. One of which is “an integrated continent politically united based on the ideals of Pan Africanism and the vision of Africa's Renaissance.”

Scenarios for the Russian Federation by the World Economic Forum analyzes four different scenarios for the future of Russia, based on varying levels of economic, political, and social development. These scenarios range from a “Global Reset” that sees a complete overhaul of the world economy, to a “Low Momentum” scenario where Russia stagnates in its current state. Some of the domestic drivers highlighted are:

• Efficiency of bureaucratic apparatus
• Transparency of legal frameworks
• Leadership of regional actors
• Level of popular discontent
• Elite cohesion

Future State 2030: The global megatrends shaping governments by KPMG International and the Mowat Centre examines global megatrends likely to impact the public and private sectors through 2030, and delves into the megatrends' implications for governments.

Make or Break: How Will Cities Shape Future Global Challenges? by Global Governance Futures (GGF) 2030 Fellows uses scenarios to explore 3 key questions about the future of cities in 2030:

1. Will we see cities instead of national governments carry out sustainable development initiatives?
2. What role will cities play in the future of global governance?
3. What will cities, mayors and civil society groups need in order to jointly advocate for and lead policy changes?

The biggest factors contributing to cities' role in global governance are: relationship between cities and their nation states, degree of privitatization within cities, provision of security in cities, degree of city-to-city cooperation, degree of virtual citizenship, and degree of backlash against globalization.

Health and Health Care in 2032 by

The Future of Asia: Forces of Change and Potential Surprises by

Scenarios for the Future of Technology and International Development by

Global Foresight 2022 by

Thinking MENA Futures: The Next Five Years and Beyond by

Caribbean: 2030 Trends by

AFRICAN FUTURES 2050: THE NEXT FORTY YEARS by

African Digital Futures by

Categories: